0x7FF65A711b0420B671fd22BCFf2cffBAd9Fa10EE-1778011652598
0x7ff65a711b0420b671fd22bcff2cffbad9fa10ee
- Realised P&L
- $-37.52
- Volume
- $943.29
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $27.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.285 | $9.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.055 | $7.34 | −$4.67 |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.160 | $4.72 | −$1.41 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.035 | $4.03 | −$4.07 |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No | 0.200 | 0.135 | $1.45 | −$0.70 |
| Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.44 |
| Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.58 |
| Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.09at 0.515Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 01:03 | Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.0693726346 | $8.10 |
| 05-15 01:03 | Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.30 |
| 05-12 19:41 | Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $12.01 |
| 05-12 19:41 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.14 |
| 05-10 13:30 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.507 | $73.11 |
| 05-10 02:36 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.508 | $8.77 |
| 05-10 00:36 | Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.39 |
| 05-10 00:06 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.508 | $20.96 |
| 05-10 00:06 | Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0397214806 | $4.20 |
| 05-09 00:24 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.519 | $20.87 |
| 05-08 09:50 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.519 | $13.59 |
| 05-08 09:43 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.519 | $10.01 |
| 05-07 16:18 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 16:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 15:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |