1999ABC9
0x7ff2a5688f769d135c41a5a77c7512c9a0fa2be4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $457.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.774 | 0.815 | $273.88 | +$13.85 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.080 | $71.85 | −$79.90 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.013 | $71.26 | −$645.55 |
| OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.055 | $37.81 | −$62.87 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.013 | $1.65 | −$14.11 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.050 | $1.02 | −$7.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.137Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$1.2kat 0.016Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$495.62at 0.265Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$360.10at 0.872Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$235.15at 0.547Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 21:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $48.02 |
| 08-12 18:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $86.76 |
| 08-12 18:09 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $24.09 |
| 08-10 14:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $53.16 |
| 08-10 14:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $70.87 |
| 08-10 13:54 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $29.81 |
| 08-09 17:36 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.96 |
| 08-09 17:35 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $63.63 |
| 08-09 17:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $67.50 |
| 08-09 17:33 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.46 |
| 08-09 17:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 08-09 17:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0594990177 | $60.57 |
| 08-08 16:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $85.50 |
| 08-08 14:41 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 08-08 14:25 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $14.55 |