expyexpy
0x7ff1e03c04cea08bdd98aaec89599c5f04bebd17
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $126.5k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.162Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$703.93at 0.535Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
- +$633.93at 0.660Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$354.45at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$352.66at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $310.00 |
| 08-20 13:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $155.68 |
| 05-29 20:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.045 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 20:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 03-05 01:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5190350461 | $222.83 |
| 03-05 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5299996073 | $130.81 |
| 03-05 00:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.984 | $784.85 |
| 02-16 23:05 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.0k |
| 02-16 23:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.347 | $30.60 |
| 02-16 19:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | SELL | 0.0800768919 | $43.52 |
| 02-16 19:40 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.27 | $15.10 |
| 02-16 19:37 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | SELL | 0.082 | $14.01 |
| 02-15 00:52 | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 162.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 02-14 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0641980947 | $6.87 |
| 02-14 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14? | BUY | 0.5673 | $56.73 |