PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

expyexpy

0x7ff1e03c04cea08bdd98aaec89599c5f04bebd17

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$126.5k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4830.180$775.46$1.3k
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2790.255$544.02$50.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.415$415.00$45.00
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes0.1000.051$102.15$96.20
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.055$9.04$30.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.4930.000$0.00$48.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.3060.000$0.00$91.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.5570.000$0.00$222.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET · Down0.5310.000$0.00$52.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.3140.000$0.00$93.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.5620.000$0.00$334.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.2750.000$0.00$119.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.5730.000$0.00$114.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Down0.5340.000$0.00$233.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$310.00
08-20 13:36Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$155.68
05-29 20:30Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?BUY0.045$50.00
05-29 20:29Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?BUY0.3599999987$100.00
03-05 01:08Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.5190350461$222.83
03-05 01:05Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.5299996073$130.81
03-05 00:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.984$784.85
02-16 23:05Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.79$1.0k
02-16 23:03Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY0.347$30.60
02-16 19:41Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?SELL0.0800768919$43.52
02-16 19:40Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageBUY0.27$15.10
02-16 19:37Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?SELL0.082$14.01
02-15 00:52Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 162.5BUY0.51$2.55
02-14 14:23Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?BUY0.0641980947$6.87
02-14 12:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?BUY0.5673$56.73