0x7feBbeFd5559943C03cf31370a1135975BEB13d4-1772283652585
0x7febbefd5559943c03cf31370a1135975beb13d4
- Realised P&L
- $-209.19
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $95.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $71.16 | −$12.56 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $12.13 | −$1.45 |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.240 | $12.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.48at 0.270Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
- +$-14.32at 0.550Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$-19.07at 0.130Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?
- +$-30.00at 0.412LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$-30.10at 0.184Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:49 | Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-05 18:17 | Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 18:17 | Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 20:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.025 | $13.68 |
| 06-09 09:47 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 06-09 09:47 | Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.93 | $106.77 |
| 06-08 11:41 | Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.35 |
| 06-08 11:41 | Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.0055939653 | $0.94 |
| 06-08 11:41 | Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.052 | $12.40 |
| 05-27 06:51 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $83.72 |
| 05-27 06:36 | Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $13.58 |
| 05-19 12:21 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4099999979 | $77.55 |
| 05-05 07:49 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1669999988 | $91.39 |
| 04-06 14:34 | Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.0339999833 | $1.90 |
| 03-28 18:03 | Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.1841200327 | $31.00 |