PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7fe7a251cb964AFbeF8007B312a08cbd0370c1e7-1778224433675

0x7fe7a251cb964afbef8007b312a08cbd0370c1e7

Realised P&L
$-41.57
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$5.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.4200.430$2.05+$0.05
Will Ecuador win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.3700.355$1.92$0.08
Will China PR win on 2026-09-24? · No0.7000.595$1.70$0.30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$3.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$1.10
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$5.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5770.000$0.00$2.30
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00$1.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 03:49Will China PR win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-22 03:47Will Ecuador win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-22 03:47Will Japan win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-22 03:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSELL0.99$5.07
09-22 03:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-22 03:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSELL0.99$1.03
09-22 03:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSELL0.03$0.27
09-22 03:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-22 03:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.96$1.00
09-22 03:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSELL0.999$1.03
09-22 03:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.97$1.00
09-22 03:20Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.58$2.56
08-20 03:18US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.32
08-20 03:18Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.21$0.72
08-20 03:18Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.09$0.75