qwe1581531307
0x7fe3113e54b7692b880461ecee520090293c6580
- Realised P&L
- $-529.66
- Volume
- $72.2k
- Markets traded
- 834
- Open portfolio
- $885.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded834
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.998 | 0.994 | $596.40 | −$2.40 |
| Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.955 | $191.00 | −$7.69 |
| CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.972 | 0.945 | $33.31 | −$0.94 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres | 0.450 | 0.455 | $13.65 | +$0.15 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves · Miami Marlins | 0.430 | 0.435 | $13.05 | +$0.15 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Los Angeles Angels | 0.410 | 0.425 | $12.75 | +$0.45 |
| New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians · New York Mets | 0.420 | 0.415 | $12.45 | −$0.15 |
| Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) · CSD Tristan Suarez | 0.330 | 0.399 | $12.35 | +$2.12 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.002 | $0.10 | −$21.90 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.20 |
| Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.30 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.60at 0.640Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$44.16at 0.654Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$39.00at 0.610Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
- +$38.00at 0.620Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$36.00at 0.640Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:20 | CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 08-04 06:14 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | SELL | 0.062 | $0.62 |
| 08-04 06:14 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | SELL | 0.053 | $1.06 |
| 08-04 06:07 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | SELL | 0.063 | $0.32 |
| 08-04 06:01 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | SELL | 0.073 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 05:40 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | SELL | 0.061 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 05:39 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | SELL | 0.073 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 04:24 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | BUY | 0.335 | $29.48 |
| 08-04 03:21 | Spread: CSD Tristan Suarez (-2.5) | BUY | 0.242 | $1.21 |
| 08-04 03:17 | CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.974 | $10.71 |
| 08-04 03:17 | CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.973 | $13.87 |
| 08-04 03:17 | CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 22:44 | Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.987914 | $98.79 |
| 08-03 21:45 | Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-03 03:14 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |