shabo
0x7fe046bd6e6fdfa7c29a682d58f9d7bbf18de5ae
- Realised P&L
- $-138.15
- Volume
- $236.9k
- Markets traded
- 934
- Open portfolio
- $9.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded934
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 29? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.89at 0.820Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?
- +$25.77at 0.640Solana above $200 on November 15?
- +$23.41at 0.430Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$11.64at 0.480Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28?
- +$8.67at 0.950Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 09:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 09:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 02:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-10 02:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.98 |
| 09-01 06:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.98 |
| 09-01 06:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.987 | $5.92 |
| 08-13 16:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 08-13 16:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-13 16:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-13 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.88 |
| 08-13 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.74 |
| 08-13 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |