FrogEdge
0x7fd8486676920608c0c86da0e41188241300057c
- Realised P&L
- $55.25
- Volume
- $120.18
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar46.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.83at 0.308Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?
- +$12.82at 0.359Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?
- +$9.98at 0.505Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?
- +$9.86at 0.507Will Trump say "250" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?
- +$9.80at 0.510Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 00:23 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 23:18 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.4955401388 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 23:10 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 22:44 | Will Trump say "250" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 09-28 22:41 | Will Trump say "250" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 22:41 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 22:35 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |