qut
0x7fd4a174232651324070b15d9005830f13512ffc
- Realised P&L
- $10.98
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $37.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27? · No | 0.956 | 0.982 | $37.22 | +$0.97 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.15at 0.618Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.77at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
- +$0.71at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.63at 0.980Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
- +$0.59at 0.980Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 03:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $35.89 |
| 09-18 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.977 | $35.17 |
| 09-17 15:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.991 | $34.69 |
| 09-13 04:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-09 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.989 | $33.63 |
| 09-08 15:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.86 |
| 09-08 03:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $23.39 |
| 09-06 14:21 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.977 | $32.24 |
| 09-05 14:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 5? | BUY | 0.994 | $32.80 |
| 09-02 16:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $31.74 |
| 09-01 15:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $31.81 |
| 08-29 03:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.979 | $31.33 |
| 08-28 14:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 28? | BUY | 0.987 | $30.60 |
| 08-28 00:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.48 |
| 08-27 14:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.986 | $29.58 |