PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Uselink

0x7fd342193b54e52983b519b1bde57d65a794aedd

Realised P&L
$8.9k
Volume
$2.30M
Markets traded
444
Open portfolio
$243.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded444
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5130.370$131.12−$50.68
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? · Yes0.5600.470$94.00−$18.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2100.011$14.42−$274.82
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.6100.840$4.21+$1.15
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5 · Over0.4600.000$0.00−$91.99
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6200.000$0.00−$1.12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00−$85.00
Northern Ireland vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3300.000$0.00−$66.00
CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 1.5 · Over0.3700.000$0.00−$74.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 1.5 · Over0.1630.000$0.00−$32.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$9.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$19.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$40.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5850.000$0.00−$233.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 00:40FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5BUY0.29$58.00
09-13 01:50Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.26$1.69
09-13 01:43Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.61$3.05
09-11 15:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.24$1.20
09-11 14:29Stade Rennais FC 1901 to score first in the 1st half vs. Olympique de Marseille?BUY0.47$94.00
09-07 03:32Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?SELL0.002$0.46
09-07 03:09Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?BUY0.03$6.85
09-06 21:00Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?BUY0.7492314793$97.39
09-06 20:11Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?BUY0.65$6.38
09-06 20:03Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?BUY0.545$5.45
09-06 20:01Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?BUY0.64$7.69
09-06 19:39Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?BUY0.66$6.59
09-06 19:38Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?BUY0.66$6.60
09-06 19:36Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?BUY0.6$82.81
08-17 19:21Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$7.30