Uselink
0x7fd342193b54e52983b519b1bde57d65a794aedd
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $2.30M
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $243.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.710Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.685Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
- +$784.01at 0.331Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$574.98at 0.341Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$441.17at 0.570World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 00:40 | FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 09-13 01:50 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.26 | $1.69 |
| 09-13 01:43 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-11 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-11 14:29 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 to score first in the 1st half vs. Olympique de Marseille? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 09-07 03:32 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.46 |
| 09-07 03:09 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.85 |
| 09-06 21:00 | Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.7492314793 | $97.39 |
| 09-06 20:11 | Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.38 |
| 09-06 20:03 | Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? | BUY | 0.545 | $5.45 |
| 09-06 20:01 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.69 |
| 09-06 19:39 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.59 |
| 09-06 19:38 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-06 19:36 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | BUY | 0.6 | $82.81 |
| 08-17 19:21 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $7.30 |