apper
0x7fcaac7d25defdad5f86126ec62f1e641977ac29
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 4,389
- Open portfolio
- $11.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,389
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.45at 0.684Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?
- +$319.53at 0.642Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$268.31at 0.740Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?
- +$219.98at 0.866Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30?
- +$202.47at 0.012Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 03:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 03:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 02:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.08 |
| 09-17 00:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.07 |
| 09-16 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 14:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.11 |
| 09-16 10:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $36.93 |
| 09-16 08:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.968 | $58.08 |
| 09-16 04:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.47 | $235.00 |
| 09-16 03:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 09-16 02:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |