0x7fBE4601bF25F3F825C88e2767E728d1189Bb30C-1768161082146
0x7fbe4601bf25f3f825c88e2767e728d1189bb30c
- Realised P&L
- $-42.34
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $29.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.363 | 1.000 | $16.53 | +$10.53 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-14? · Yes | 0.630 | 1.000 | $11.11 | +$4.11 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.052 | $1.86 | −$3.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the US strike Colombia next? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-11 22:01 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-14? | BUY | 0.629999973 | $7.00 |
| 01-11 21:56 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 01-11 21:55 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-11 21:51 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 01-11 21:49 | Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 01-11 21:48 | Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.3629999751 | $6.00 |
| 01-11 21:46 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.0089333274 | $21.00 |
| 01-11 21:45 | Will the US strike Colombia next? | BUY | 0.0175578709 | $21.00 |