PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7fbb646c2cd1a3a1f041430f33e28523a29335d5

Realised P&L
$-5.36
Volume
$46.13
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$2.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · No0.4200.520$1.24+$0.24
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.3300.315$0.95$0.05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.3600.006$0.02$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:07Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-13 21:39Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-13 06:05Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.74$1.00
09-11 10:39SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-10 14:07Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-10 02:55SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-09 17:31Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-09 09:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.4$1.00
09-08 17:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-08 07:24LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-07 16:34Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-31 18:44Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-31 10:44Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
08-31 01:15Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-30 17:13Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.4599997608$1.00