0x7fbb646c2cd1a3a1f041430f33e28523a29335d5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.36
- Volume
- $46.13
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $2.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · No | 0.420 | 0.520 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.315 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.360 | 0.006 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?
- +$0.50at 0.669Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during remarks at NASA?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.36at 0.738Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:07 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:39 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 10:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:07 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:55 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:31 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 07:24 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:34 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 18:44 | Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 10:44 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 01:15 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:13 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |