FromToday
0x7fbb03b39d666a2a15e134b34bd967ded206694c
- Realised P&L
- $-116.93
- Volume
- $331.5k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $33.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.992 | 0.999 | $9.60 | +$0.06 |
| Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) · FC Barcelona | 0.969 | 0.965 | $9.23 | −$0.04 |
| Will New York Rangers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? · No | 0.990 | 0.988 | $5.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.953 | $4.76 | +$0.21 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.992 | 0.992 | $3.92 | −$0.00 |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$87.00 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Nets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.26at 0.999Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
- +$44.92at 0.967Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
- +$41.67at 0.960Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
- +$28.78at 0.630James Madison vs. Georgia Southern
- +$24.99at 0.990Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 12:03 | Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9689999987 | $9.27 |
| 10-12 12:01 | Bills Team Total: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $7.27 |
| 09-28 19:16 | Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $5.29 |
| 09-28 19:15 | Will New York Rangers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.99 |
| 08-23 13:45 | Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 08:57 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.27 |
| 05-15 17:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 04-23 19:10 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 04-23 19:10 | Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9859999996 | $4.78 |
| 03-18 12:50 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $3.92 |
| 03-18 12:49 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.54 |
| 12-02 13:52 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9919999854 | $49.00 |
| 12-02 13:51 | Negative GDP growth in 2025? | SELL | 0.9773032432 | $83.47 |
| 11-05 16:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.995 | $404.65 |
| 11-05 16:38 | Jazz vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.7899999982 | $60.00 |