0x7fb64ede6c372cde7f0b072b259aa7082c1f50ce
0x7fb64ede6c372cde7f0b072b259aa7082c1f50ce
- Realised P&L
- $2.37
- Volume
- $375.42
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.068 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.005 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.21at 0.258Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$4.00at 0.349SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.36at 0.389Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?
- +$3.36at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:49 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:27 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:21 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:33 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:53 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:25 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999929 | $2.09 |
| 09-16 02:28 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 09-13 04:17 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.2999999856 | $2.09 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.269999991 | $2.09 |
| 09-10 05:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299999488 | $2.09 |