PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7faa3BA9879Ed2e62101eEe90D61Ea633662994E-1768575008708

0x7faa3ba9879ed2e62101eee90d61ea633662994e

Realised P&L
$-4.33
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$720.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.9300.935$502.69+$2.69
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Yes0.7970.812$203.76+$3.76
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? · Yes0.0710.045$10.13$5.87
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2540.055$3.85$13.95
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.4810.000$0.00$7.00
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No0.5400.000$0.00$5.40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.9200.000$0.00$79.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No0.8900.000$0.00$100.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.7000.000$0.00$206.78
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$3.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 07:43Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.08$10.00
09-23 13:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$500.00
09-23 13:18Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.797006285$200.00
08-14 10:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.8899999997$250.00
06-15 09:45Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.051$2.83
06-15 09:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.61$26.56
05-27 04:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.6199999927$27.00
05-27 04:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.8299999993$100.00
05-27 04:43US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7399999985$50.00
05-26 12:03US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.95$500.00
05-26 06:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.74$150.00
04-18 12:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7099999885$8.00
04-15 03:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.7699999995$200.00
04-11 14:24Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?SELL0.07$2.10
04-10 07:15Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?SELL0.1$0.50