0x7FA72f6Fa9395729652E21aB77233d7dE028B07C-1783626777603
0x7fa72f6fa9395729652e21ab77233d7de028b07c
- Realised P&L
- $137.05
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $11.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.660 | 1.000 | $4.55 | +$1.55 |
| Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $2.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.145 | $2.72 | −$0.28 |
| Israel vs. Kosovo: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.080 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.10at 0.250Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$6.87at 0.561Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.61at 0.270Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-23?
- +$5.15at 0.977Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
- +$2.14at 0.980Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:46 | Israel vs. Kosovo: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.0975609756 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 22:40 | Will Germany vs. Serbia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 22:39 | Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-27 19:10 | Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0339300292 | $2.91 |
| 09-27 19:10 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.64 | $9.01 |
| 09-27 19:02 | Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1166180758 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 22:06 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 20:06 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |
| 08-19 19:42 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19? | SELL | 0.14 | $19.56 |
| 08-19 19:09 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.2147340012 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 18:29 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw? | BUY | 0.349999965 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 10:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | SELL | 0.01834 | $4.58 |
| 07-26 11:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | BUY | 0.06 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 09:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.21 | $42.00 |
| 07-24 07:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.29 | $43.94 |