PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7F883cD0a3259D1BC640C0E19A72a0f2D6c7f76e-1791754063046

0x7f883cd0a3259d1bc640c0e19a72a0f2d6c7f76e

Realised P&L
$775.32
Volume
$199.3k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:54Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?SELL0.14$85.54
10-29 17:54Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?SELL0.48$20.45
10-29 17:54Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.15$15.00
10-29 17:54Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?SELL0.34$17.00
10-29 17:54Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?SELL0.4032278064$630.86
10-29 17:50Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?SELL0.41$459.20
10-29 17:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?SELL0.0106896723$0.86
10-29 17:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?SELL0.24$107.28
10-29 17:50Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?SELL0.3531861629$232.78
10-29 17:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?SELL0.27$40.50
10-29 17:50Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?SELL0.14$25.46
10-29 17:50Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?SELL0.47$8.46
10-29 17:50Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?SELL0.16$20.98
10-29 17:50Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?SELL0.38$456.05
10-29 17:50Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.030269624$795.93