0x7F883cD0a3259D1BC640C0E19A72a0f2D6c7f76e-1791754063046
0x7f883cd0a3259d1bc640c0e19a72a0f2d6c7f76e
- Realised P&L
- $775.32
- Volume
- $199.3k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.717Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$700.00at 0.290Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$623.98at 0.300Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
- +$366.00at 0.310Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
- +$335.30at 0.130Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:54 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.14 | $85.54 |
| 10-29 17:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.48 | $20.45 |
| 10-29 17:54 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-29 17:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 10-29 17:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.4032278064 | $630.86 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.41 | $459.20 |
| 10-29 17:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | SELL | 0.0106896723 | $0.86 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.24 | $107.28 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.3531861629 | $232.78 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.27 | $40.50 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.14 | $25.46 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.47 | $8.46 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $20.98 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.38 | $456.05 |
| 10-29 17:50 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.030269624 | $795.93 |