ay118
0x7f84b263a2f8b32e51455c6d005cac7f503db057
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $242.6k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $19.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Nets | 0.506 | 0.655 | $6.3k | +$1.4k |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) · Lakers | 0.480 | 0.485 | $4.7k | +$48.41 |
| Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.495 | $3.7k | +$37.15 |
| Spread: Warriors (-1.5) · Clippers | 0.490 | 0.495 | $2.5k | +$25.00 |
| Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.855 | $1.0k | +$419.41 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 221.5 · Under | 0.500 | 1.000 | $999.81 | +$499.81 |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.430 | 0.145 | $161.86 | −$318.14 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.454 | 0.001 | $5.18 | −$4.7k |
| Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5) · Djurgardens IF | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5 · Over | 0.476 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.7k |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) · Trail Blazers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) · Hornets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$399.50 |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5 · Under | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) · Lakers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.1kat 0.497Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
- +$6.9kat 0.490Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
- +$5.7kat 0.503Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 221.5
- +$5.7kat 0.490Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
- +$4.7kat 0.488Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:38 | Spread: Warriors (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $623.67 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 21:16 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5150483253 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 21:14 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 21:12 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.5k |
| 11-01 20:56 | Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $480.00 |
| 11-01 19:48 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.47 | $54.97 |
| 11-01 18:43 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4599999999 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 18:42 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4568023833 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 17:07 | Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $620.00 |
| 11-01 14:09 | Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 221.5 | BUY | 0.4998432492 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 12:56 | Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 12:53 | Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 12:53 | Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 06:59 | Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $1.0k |