aybashi
0x7f7cbec172d488e8d3c2c60e634f53c24317de70
- Realised P&L
- $-34.07
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $22.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Saints win the season series against the Falcons during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.730 | 0.740 | $7.40 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Falcons win the season series against the Saints during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.750 | 0.615 | $6.15 | −$1.35 |
| Will the season series between the Falcons and Saints end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? · No | 0.836 | 0.694 | $3.48 | −$0.72 |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? · No | 0.231 | 0.035 | $0.69 | −$3.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.80at 0.710Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
- +$2.26at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$2.21at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$2.16at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$2.11at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:06 | Will the season series between the Falcons and Saints end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 06:06 | Will the Saints win the season series against the Falcons during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-15 06:06 | Will the Falcons win the season series against the Saints during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-07 04:00 | Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-07 04:00 | Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? | BUY | 0.8359999761 | $4.20 |
| 09-07 04:00 | Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 09-06 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-19 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-19 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.70286 | $3.51 |
| 08-19 03:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-19 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-19 03:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 08-19 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-19 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-19 02:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |