laylahashish
0x7f655035f8271e5443b85e744cbe080d9e008234
- Realised P&L
- $-647.48
- Volume
- $83.1k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $89.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No | 0.490 | 1.000 | $74.00 | +$37.74 |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $15.66 | −$27.71 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$542.28at 0.280Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?
- +$315.93at 0.596FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5
- +$205.48at 0.560Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$127.52at 0.570Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?
- +$109.55at 0.650Solana Up or Down - February 23, 2AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 11:25 | FC Annecy vs. Clermont Foot 63: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.596 | $466.07 |
| 04-11 09:47 | Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $333.66 |
| 04-11 06:36 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.22 |
| 04-11 03:53 | Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $333.66 |
| 04-10 00:30 | Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? | SELL | 0.27 | $43.47 |
| 04-10 00:29 | Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? | SELL | 0.26 | $43.16 |
| 04-09 12:18 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $313.20 |
| 04-08 08:48 | Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? | BUY | 0.88 | $287.76 |
| 03-30 03:09 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $318.60 |
| 03-25 16:20 | Will CR Brasil win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.51 | $165.75 |
| 03-25 16:19 | Will CR Brasil win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.51 | $232.05 |
| 03-25 04:37 | Will CR Brasil win on 2026-04-18? | BUY | 0.57 | $444.60 |
| 03-24 05:53 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $86.94 |
| 03-24 05:51 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $68.08 |
| 03-23 00:39 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.46 | $155.02 |