PolyBot

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Traders

roronoagako1205

0x7f59bb91a432e1a11dc2b9f7ee15d4ff5fe47d29

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$188.9k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1230.135$1.4k+$117.21
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$267.86−$32.14
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.2100.050$0.30−$0.94
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$24.00
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-09? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$10.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.4100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 10:53Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1583983984$9.89
10-26 10:52Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1$4.00
10-26 10:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-26 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-26 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
10-26 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.1799999856$2.00
10-26 10:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.3699999593$2.00
10-25 22:06Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.016592$4.15
10-25 21:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3349999955$9.00
10-25 20:58Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2$8.46
10-25 20:56Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0477068822$18.36
10-25 20:53Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1699999998$9.50
10-23 12:07Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2099999966$1.24
10-13 11:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-13 11:56Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.037100946$14.27