Legacymackay
0x7f5497dd396e07c2f16155377ee2479bf8d68366
- Realised P&L
- $-187.85
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $148.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.775 | $81.38 | −$2.57 |
| Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.660 | $66.98 | +$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.04at 0.785Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?
- +$3.46at 0.682Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
- +$-3.69at 0.812Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
- +$-11.84at 0.281Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
- +$-13.12at 0.343Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:37 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 10-10 14:36 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-10 13:16 | Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 16:16 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | SELL | 0.05 | $7.67 |
| 10-07 14:25 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | SELL | 0.2895130435 | $133.18 |
| 10-07 02:29 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | BUY | 0.4 | $49.80 |
| 10-07 02:20 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 10-07 02:13 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | BUY | 0.39 | $63.75 |
| 10-07 02:10 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? | SELL | 0.170228 | $17.02 |
| 10-04 13:41 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | SELL | 0.993 | $0.43 |
| 10-02 13:06 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 11:40 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.7725942225 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 14:22 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | SELL | 0.726047153 | $81.61 |
| 09-26 15:20 | Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | BUY | 0.6500879786 | $75.00 |
| 09-26 15:18 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.6672597865 | $75.00 |