polikuli
0x7f53a7594b2999af66375f617a1dd33a08687cd8
- Realised P&L
- $-204.49
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $654.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.275 | $550.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.109 | $98.23 | +$60.23 |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $4.96 | −$4.95 |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.002 | $1.57 | −$20.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.14at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$-105.71at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$-106.92at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 18:59 | Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.91 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0421663507 | $38.00 |
| 10-18 18:58 | Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0207991458 | $21.77 |
| 10-18 18:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.32 | $640.00 |
| 10-14 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 20:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1845312321 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $91.21 |
| 10-14 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.79 |