0x7F51fE892219F137305B68f29D3189ec26EcD389-1771774690667
0x7f51fe892219f137305b68f29d3189ec26ecd389
- Realised P&L
- $851.38
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 314
- Open portfolio
- $190.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded314
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$398.39at 0.345Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
- +$189.59at 0.448Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$128.39at 0.881Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?
- +$89.45at 0.512Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- +$70.70at 0.500Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 05:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 10-31 05:43 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4304756993 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 05:37 | Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 05:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.9497783849 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 05:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 05:26 | Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.9761397752 | $45.39 |
| 10-31 05:21 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.64 |
| 08-04 13:31 | Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.0565453387 | $6.21 |
| 08-04 10:54 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 20:36 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.8571452282 | $20.66 |
| 08-02 20:29 | Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel in July? | BUY | 0.9869999985 | $1.96 |
| 08-02 17:23 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0587967049 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:13 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.0449999875 | $3.39 |
| 07-19 19:07 | Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.7353518326 | $3.40 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.7081347982 | $18.00 |