hadiama
0x7f50db7f80c32a15beac78e2b548900260f61eb8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.01
- Volume
- $96.16
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $3.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.475 | $1.58 | +$0.08 |
| Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.320 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Uruguay end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Japan vs. Uruguay end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.29at 0.472Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?
- +$2.19at 0.321Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?
- +$1.87at 0.452Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29?
- +$1.74at 0.371Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?
- +$0.91at 0.710Will France win on 2026-09-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:33 | Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:28 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:05 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:01 | Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $1.50 |
| 09-29 08:01 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 07:57 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $7.00 |
| 09-29 07:26 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.44999991 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 18:29 | Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:28 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:11 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.77 |
| 09-28 15:38 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:34 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:38 | Will Korea Republic vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 07:10 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.50 |
| 09-26 20:43 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.34 |