tradebetter - 7818
0x7f44396cac437e0308edf9426f152899646aefda
- Realised P&L
- $-305.91
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $10.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.090 | $10.49 | −$6.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina · Federico Cina | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli · Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.81at 0.602Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.12at 0.760Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
- +$17.00at 0.850Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?
- +$14.36at 0.440Mets vs. Pirates
- +$10.83at 0.480Cardinals vs. Guardians
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 02:29 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999931 | $17.48 |
| 08-05 02:28 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $18.63 |
| 07-26 02:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999943 | $30.49 |
| 07-26 02:06 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $32.28 |
| 07-23 21:03 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1298296172 | $38.10 |
| 07-23 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 19:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7031930603 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |