wallet10000w
0x7f4014f09c751b7f624546801c135f73cba7b60e
- Realised P&L
- $-199.67
- Volume
- $108.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $111.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · No | 0.793 | 1.000 | $100.00 | +$20.72 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $11.32 | −$18.86 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.973 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$119.68 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.70at 0.960Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
- +$4.88at 0.878Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$4.12at 0.005Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
- +$2.25at 0.850MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.310Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 07:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.806 | $64.48 |
| 07-08 07:45 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $30.18 |
| 06-19 11:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 05-28 03:40 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 04-09 04:00 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $119.68 |
| 04-09 03:58 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $26.19 |
| 03-28 08:02 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $34.08 |
| 02-28 13:38 | Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $26.19 |
| 02-28 13:38 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $34.08 |
| 02-28 13:37 | Will Walmart acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.94 | $23.50 |
| 02-28 13:37 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 01-29 14:02 | Will Meta acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.957 | $19.14 |
| 12-13 16:25 | Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | BUY | 0.9912562898 | $55.00 |
| 12-13 16:24 | Will Walmart acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.985 | $24.63 |
| 12-13 16:24 | Will Meta acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.955 | $19.10 |