PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7F2486C0A1789D3fFd52010C0ff73c9C90BdD9e8-1776500544011

0x7f2486c0a1789d3ffd52010c0ff73c9c90bdd9e8

Realised P&L
$3.06
Volume
$656.80
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$3.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.7300.545$3.73$1.27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.0030.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:31Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
06-01 16:52Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
06-01 16:52Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
04-26 05:12Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.995$5.00
04-24 14:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?BUY0.999$16.00
04-22 00:58Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.003$1.00
04-22 00:57Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.004$1.00
04-20 16:37Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
04-20 16:36US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?BUY0.6189998675$1.00
04-20 16:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.719999856$1.00
04-18 08:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.699999993$10.00