blackcarbon
0x7f2364d39805105b594609eca3c7207427aa40b4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $53.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $591.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.172 | 1.000 | $581.40 | +$481.40 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $10.08 | −$0.92 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Harry Kane: 1+ assists · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) · Norway | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.61 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.27at 0.272Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$175.86at 0.370Norway to score first vs. England?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 14:04 | Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.07 | $99.19 |
| 07-15 14:04 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 14:04 | Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 14:01 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 14:00 | Harry Kane: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 14:00 | Harry Kane: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 14:00 | Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.0369999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 13:59 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 13:59 | England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 13:59 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 22:01 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.0769999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 22:00 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0337830781 | $40.00 |
| 07-11 21:59 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.1199999975 | $40.00 |
| 07-11 21:57 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? | BUY | 0.045 | $33.62 |
| 07-11 21:56 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |