Seluj
0x7f2095f93a482a262513cefa61789cdc674c086a
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $153.4k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $677.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No | 0.903 | 0.860 | $536.79 | −$26.63 |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.936 | 0.972 | $51.88 | +$1.88 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $21.94 | −$1.04 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.214 | $20.81 | −$2.18 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.034 | $20.77 | −$2.17 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.088 | $19.38 | −$3.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.8kat 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$735.58at 0.363Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?
- +$537.62at 0.603Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
- +$349.85at 0.399Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
- +$290.16at 0.541US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:59 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.8903251272 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 20:55 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.9000889055 | $89.00 |
| 08-03 20:23 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.8803088707 | $76.00 |
| 08-03 20:11 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $85.00 |
| 08-03 18:07 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.9100649962 | $135.00 |
| 08-03 15:35 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.9006588586 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 15:30 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.9001994407 | $31.00 |
| 08-03 15:04 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.9001545588 | $40.00 |
| 08-03 08:30 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.9100454433 | $91.42 |
| 08-03 07:29 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.995 | $583.85 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.520687762 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:59 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.625221174 | $187.56 |
| 08-02 14:53 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.3674279836 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:50 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.3799999854 | $13.00 |
| 08-02 14:50 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.3790499694 | $3.99 |