rdeg55
0x7f1c09341256f63e228693c38e40b5259943b237
- Realised P&L
- $5.14
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $13.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $12.89 | −$0.01 |
| UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) · Roman Kopylov | 0.380 | 0.350 | $1.05 | −$0.09 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.33 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · No | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.75at 0.570George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionaries
- +$0.22at 0.820Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$0.17at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.880Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- +$0.09at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:18 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.90 |
| 09-27 15:16 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 08-24 08:48 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999555 | $14.00 |
| 06-09 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $90.00 |
| 06-09 07:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.23 |
| 06-06 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999904 | $94.00 |
| 06-01 09:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? | BUY | 0.9989999818 | $52.00 |
| 06-01 09:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? | BUY | 0.9979326389 | $40.00 |
| 05-26 09:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $85.00 |
| 05-20 01:43 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.00 |
| 05-15 08:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.00 |
| 05-13 03:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13? | BUY | 0.9989999894 | $86.00 |
| 05-13 03:34 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 05-13 03:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9979995293 | $1.34 |
| 05-13 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13? | BUY | 0.9869999891 | $1.00 |