TTLucky
0x7f1a86d1a631caa318abd40649215d7df05cf34c
- Realised P&L
- $20.33
- Volume
- $457.62
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $86.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9? · Yes | 0.420 | 1.000 | $70.68 | +$40.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? · No | 0.852 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$1.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 9? · No | 0.800 | 1.000 | $5.33 | +$1.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$80.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.809 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$12.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.07at 0.855Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?
- +$2.45at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$-0.96at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.1931276167 | $24.91 |
| 10-10 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.11 |
| 10-10 02:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.25 |
| 10-10 02:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.809 | $12.14 |
| 10-10 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.167 | $1.70 |
| 10-10 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.852 | $8.52 |
| 10-10 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.8325837026 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-09 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.26 |
| 10-09 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.4199999983 | $29.70 |
| 10-08 11:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |