PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

TTLucky

0x7f1a86d1a631caa318abd40649215d7df05cf34c

Realised P&L
$20.33
Volume
$457.62
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$86.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9? · Yes0.4201.000$70.68+$40.98
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10? · No0.8521.000$9.99+$1.48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 9? · No0.8001.000$5.33+$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10? · Yes0.2650.001$0.15−$80.35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? · Yes0.8090.001$0.01−$12.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 03:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?BUY0.1931276167$24.91
10-10 02:34Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?BUY0.2$1.11
10-10 02:19Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?SELL0.051$0.25
10-10 02:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?BUY0.809$12.14
10-10 02:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?SELL0.167$1.70
10-10 02:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.852$8.52
10-10 00:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?BUY0.8325837026$10.00
10-10 00:04Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 10?BUY0.52$2.60
10-09 21:55Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 9?BUY0.8$4.26
10-09 17:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?BUY0.4199999983$29.70
10-08 11:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.659999963$5.00