0x7f14dbc5d41ab93a845a782352b4fc9c3be9db44
0x7f14dbc5d41ab93a845a782352b4fc9c3be9db44
- Realised P&L
- $-51.64
- Volume
- $666.94
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $58.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No | 0.620 | 0.665 | $26.78 | +$1.81 |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Anthony Joshua · Fury | 0.620 | 0.630 | $19.92 | +$0.32 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.715 | $11.35 | +$1.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.93at 0.709Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$2.71at 0.879Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11?
- +$2.62at 0.603Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
- +$-0.97at 0.538Bears vs. Packers
- +$-1.10at 0.370Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 18:42 | Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Anthony Joshua | BUY | 0.6199999924 | $19.60 |
| 10-11 19:47 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $6.61 |
| 10-11 18:34 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5899999683 | $3.91 |
| 10-11 16:04 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1699999975 | $4.79 |
| 10-11 15:57 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2599999989 | $24.08 |
| 10-11 15:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.90 |
| 10-11 15:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.73 |
| 10-10 15:21 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4199999974 | $19.41 |
| 10-10 15:16 | Bears vs. Packers | SELL | 0.52 | $19.32 |
| 10-10 13:49 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.1 | $9.56 |
| 10-10 13:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.8699999978 | $19.80 |
| 10-10 13:03 | Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? | SELL | 0.58 | $23.66 |
| 10-09 19:29 | Bears vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5299999903 | $19.70 |
| 10-09 19:16 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $23.95 |
| 10-09 18:34 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.8 | $9.89 |