sanmem
0x7ef59c5d3514adb7ad566d3e3fc5c8abeb4b704f
- Realised P&L
- $-193.03
- Volume
- $36.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $13.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.065 | $13.00 | −$29.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.87at 0.390Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
- +$112.70at 0.510Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
- +$111.80at 0.480Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
- +$-17.40at 0.730Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$-527.00at 0.350Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 02:24 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $16.80 |
| 07-08 08:31 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? | BUY | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 07-08 08:30 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? | BUY | 0.39 | $25.74 |
| 11-06 09:11 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 11-05 01:56 | Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.727 | $4.2k |
| 11-04 08:41 | Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.2k |
| 10-27 07:39 | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | BUY | 0.51 | $117.30 |