0x7ef4dc8b98740e284559ec3c06d25626c3542b8f
0x7ef4dc8b98740e284559ec3c06d25626c3542b8f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.77
- Volume
- $174.18
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $2.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.900 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.575 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:40 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:39 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 13:22 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 16:46 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:57 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:55 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:55 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6519999139 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7739998731 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:47 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:46 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 03:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |