PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

WelshGhandi

0x7ef494fd9b777bb6ed5000df964ad2b3861cf88b

Realised P&L
$-82.81
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$6.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.5500.525$3.12−$0.15
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4200.425$1.01+$0.01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.585$0.97−$0.02
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.545$0.97−$0.03
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$7.67
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$4.00
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs · LOUD0.4300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00−$2.44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6530.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 1? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 14:13Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.549999958$3.27
10-04 14:12Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-04 14:11Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-04 14:11Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-18 19:28Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
09-18 19:26Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.3699999935$4.00
09-16 17:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
09-15 19:59Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
09-15 19:25LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsBUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-03 20:39Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?SELL0.397$11.10
09-02 20:41Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?BUY0.2309999395$2.44
09-01 13:58Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
08-31 13:45Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 31?BUY0.1920397377$2.00
08-31 13:30Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 1?BUY0.0747663551$10.00
08-31 13:30Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?SELL0.5$9.43