J4c0bs
0x7ee559c4856a529059871edc757627817d29b493
- Realised P&L
- $-121.52
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $15.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6? · No | 0.340 | 0.240 | $7.05 | −$2.94 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.835 | $6.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.450 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.081 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.46at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 30?
- +$17.71at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?
- +$16.93at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 16?
- +$13.14at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?
- +$11.94at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.02 |
| 09-26 18:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.0320127796 | $0.80 |
| 09-24 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.68 |
| 09-24 03:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on September 24? | SELL | 0.0663171194 | $1.05 |
| 09-24 02:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on September 24? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.45 |
| 09-23 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23? | SELL | 0.9471684588 | $26.43 |
| 09-22 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22? | SELL | 0.1744734473 | $11.63 |
| 09-20 12:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.00 |
| 09-20 12:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.92 |
| 09-18 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? | SELL | 0.85 | $21.43 |
| 09-17 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.39 |
| 09-17 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.1636408669 | $2.64 |
| 09-17 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | SELL | 0.0787168142 | $1.25 |
| 09-13 20:15 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.77 |
| 09-08 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.98 |