PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

J4c0bs

0x7ee559c4856a529059871edc757627817d29b493

Realised P&L
$-121.52
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$15.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6? · No0.3400.240$7.05−$2.94
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes0.8100.835$6.19+$0.19
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.4000.450$1.13+$0.13
Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.1000.081$0.81−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 18:41Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?SELL0.03$1.02
09-26 18:39Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?SELL0.0320127796$0.80
09-24 06:56Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?SELL0.05$0.68
09-24 03:32Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on September 24?SELL0.0663171194$1.05
09-24 02:36Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on September 24?SELL0.1$0.45
09-23 22:03Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?SELL0.9471684588$26.43
09-22 02:26Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?SELL0.1744734473$11.63
09-20 12:49Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20?SELL0.03$0.00
09-20 12:48Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20?SELL0.01$0.92
09-18 21:05Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18?SELL0.85$21.43
09-17 17:08Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?SELL0.28$0.39
09-17 15:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?SELL0.1636408669$2.64
09-17 08:53Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17?SELL0.0787168142$1.25
09-13 20:15Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?SELL0.78$5.77
09-08 21:06Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?SELL0.41$4.98