0x7Ee4fE442C5b7fcFbdcAd499e3E0dE293FDb6832-1776191929358
0x7ee4fe442c5b7fcfbdcad499e3e0de293fdb6832
- Realised P&L
- $476.85
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $108.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.55at 0.372Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$200.85at 0.407Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$154.97at 0.654Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
- +$60.00at 0.200Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
- +$59.52at 0.741Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 20:32 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.49 | $26.87 |
| 05-26 20:32 | Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League? | SELL | 0.34 | $62.19 |
| 05-26 20:32 | Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.2805608127 | $40.32 |
| 05-26 20:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $75.00 |
| 05-26 20:31 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.744928276 | $84.65 |
| 05-26 20:31 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $97.47 |
| 05-26 20:31 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.4 | $106.66 |
| 05-26 20:30 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.7755759682 | $78.10 |
| 05-26 20:30 | Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $158.93 |
| 05-26 20:30 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | SELL | 0.777 | $132.14 |
| 05-26 20:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $94.87 |
| 05-23 13:49 | Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 05-23 13:49 | Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.2150055104 | $25.00 |
| 05-23 13:49 | Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.3478917716 | $50.00 |
| 05-19 07:08 | Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.043499273 | $20.00 |