PolyBot

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Traders

0x7Ee4fE442C5b7fcFbdcAd499e3E0dE293FDb6832-1776191929358

0x7ee4fe442c5b7fcfbdcad499e3e0de293fdb6832

Realised P&L
$476.85
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$108.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? · Yes0.1100.987$107.94+$95.94
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? · Yes0.0990.004$0.61$12.73
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? · Yes0.0500.003$0.09$1.70
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$20.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$10.00
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$30.00
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$25.00
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$7.45
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? · No0.0720.000$0.00$12.00
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$15.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026? · No0.4400.000$0.00$100.00
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? · No0.0430.000$0.00$20.00
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$71.35
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.2740.000$0.00$91.49
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 20:32Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?SELL0.49$26.87
05-26 20:32Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?SELL0.34$62.19
05-26 20:32Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?SELL0.2805608127$40.32
05-26 20:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.45$75.00
05-26 20:31Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.744928276$84.65
05-26 20:31Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.77$97.47
05-26 20:31Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.4$106.66
05-26 20:30Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.7755759682$78.10
05-26 20:30Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.89$158.93
05-26 20:30Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?SELL0.777$132.14
05-26 20:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.74$94.87
05-23 13:49Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
05-23 13:49Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?BUY0.2150055104$25.00
05-23 13:49Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?BUY0.3478917716$50.00
05-19 07:08Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?BUY0.043499273$20.00