formidabu11
0x7edb68a7ee588fc58621911e12f80039d678cb2e
- Realised P&L
- $-12.5k
- Volume
- $12.93M
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $939.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.368Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.7kat 0.706France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$3.9kat 0.018Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.4kat 0.020Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.017Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:35 | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4403044949 | $500.00 |
| 10-01 18:34 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-26 17:55 | Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.1239781627 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:47 | Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.146127618 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:47 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3999052225 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:47 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3728054653 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:15 | Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:14 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3899999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:08 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:08 | Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.1617814996 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:07 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 09-26 17:05 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4099999992 | $200.00 |
| 09-26 17:05 | Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:00 | Will Salford City FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 17:00 | Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.1803940183 | $100.00 |