Dutchboy688
0x7ed28a0ec9073b9fafe277c3fbbaddcc857d3cf4
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $562.1k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $415.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.145 | $243.61 | +$119.18 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.080 | $95.41 | −$10.71 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.044 | $49.08 | −$38.65 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.056 | $23.69 | −$10.15 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.035 | $3.38 | −$2.50 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$603.11 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2025? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Weed rescheduled in 2025? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.5kat 0.231Ethereum all time high before 2026?
- +$5.0kat 0.197Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$371.21at 0.350Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$230.64at 0.350Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$224.73at 0.857Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 06:19 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $11.17 |
| 07-21 16:03 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.26 |
| 06-30 03:44 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0302245913 | $11.24 |
| 06-30 03:43 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $102.45 |
| 06-22 17:05 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 06-16 15:58 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.046 | $22.62 |
| 06-16 15:04 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.046 | $18.96 |
| 06-09 15:21 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.30 |
| 06-09 15:19 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $75.95 |
| 06-09 14:12 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 06-09 14:06 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $25.84 |
| 06-09 14:06 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $7.90 |
| 06-09 14:05 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.24 |
| 06-09 08:24 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.24 |
| 06-09 06:41 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.079 | $8.77 |