0x7ed2355e4498e0166a2a4fd780757531dc9cbb96
0x7ed2355e4498e0166a2a4fd780757531dc9cbb96
- Realised P&L
- $-220.28
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 834
- Open portfolio
- $73.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded834
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.70at 0.158Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?
- +$37.99at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?
- +$34.00at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 2?
- +$31.50at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on August 27?
- +$31.50at 0.160Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6199999684 | $3.93 |
| 09-28 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.6099999533 | $3.92 |
| 09-28 06:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3768049003 | $3.88 |
| 09-28 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $0.50 |
| 09-28 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4699999855 | $3.89 |
| 09-28 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $3.87 |
| 09-27 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5599999487 | $3.93 |
| 09-27 07:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.8099999776 | $3.97 |
| 09-27 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4399999548 | $3.89 |
| 09-26 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7799999685 | $3.96 |
| 09-26 22:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7099999712 | $3.94 |
| 09-26 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-26 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4499999711 | $3.89 |
| 09-26 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.87 |
| 09-26 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.4599999929 | $3.90 |