0x7ed1d8fd81cfbe63ba4ee2f1a8a90ff339d3d044
- Realised P&L
- $-315.09
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $12.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.021 | $12.56 | −$15.49 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.46 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.69 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.95 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.11 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.03at 0.631Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$16.17at 0.445US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$7.19at 0.130Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.330US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$4.96at 0.675Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 19:15 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 05-14 06:29 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.92 |
| 05-14 06:29 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.23 |
| 05-12 21:49 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.92 |
| 05-12 05:27 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.39 |
| 05-12 01:55 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.46 |
| 05-12 01:55 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.62 |
| 05-12 01:54 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.82 |
| 05-12 01:53 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.10 |
| 05-12 01:53 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.46 |
| 05-12 01:52 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.95 |
| 05-12 01:52 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.60 |
| 05-12 01:51 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.47 |
| 05-12 01:50 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.62 |
| 05-11 02:04 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.040552873 | $4.20 |