sdvwgw232qverw
0x7ecdbfc1e0c511034e49d27e52a0be1fb894d63f
- Realised P&L
- $35.50
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $940.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.85at 0.632 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$96.87at 0.630Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?
- +$66.77at 0.165Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$43.78at 0.395Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$23.12at 0.229U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:23 | Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-06 20:22 | Will Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-01 20:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $64.11 |
| 10-01 20:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 09-28 17:09 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $12.16 |
| 09-28 17:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.414 | $12.42 |
| 09-26 14:44 | Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-26 14:34 | Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-25 20:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $30.08 |
| 09-24 05:06 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $13.32 |
| 09-22 05:02 | Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8708378644 | $19.00 |
| 09-21 10:00 | Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $28.38 |
| 09-21 09:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $74.40 |
| 09-20 17:12 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-19 13:26 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |