Mindfu
0x7ecbe8fec84194defdae5fe64adcb88261d79def
- Realised P&L
- $-526.07
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $214.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.991 | 0.998 | $99.75 | +$0.65 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.990 | $98.95 | +$2.35 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.962 | $15.40 | −$0.14 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.00 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.00 |
| Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden · Sweden | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.20 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · No | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.33 |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic · Djokovic | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.60 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? · No | 0.598 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.70 |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) · Hernandez | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.00at 0.590Bulls vs. Heat
- +$71.38at 0.640Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$48.00at 0.840LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
- +$47.00at 0.530Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$0.70at 0.993Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 21:51 | Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9709999675 | $15.54 |
| 09-19 06:31 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $15.18 |
| 08-14 04:29 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9879999354 | $14.69 |
| 07-12 02:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.35 |
| 06-08 01:30 | Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 05-03 05:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.984 | $12.79 |
| 05-03 05:16 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 05-03 05:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 05-03 05:16 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 04-07 01:27 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 03-27 18:34 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.997 | $66.80 |
| 03-27 18:32 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 03-27 18:32 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 03-27 18:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 03-27 18:31 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |