0x7ec10a38e7c3a37cee8dea218496f697a80d79cc
0x7ec10a38e7c3a37cee8dea218496f697a80d79cc
- Realised P&L
- $12.26
- Volume
- $274.74
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $7.83
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · No | 0.230 | 0.400 | $1.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.320 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.675 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.735 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.615 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.560 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.305 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.140 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · No | 0.610 | 0.135 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.005 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.52at 0.329Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?
- +$2.40at 0.339Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.30at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:28 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 20:25 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 12:24 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 04:24 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:24 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:07 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:14 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 14:26 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:01 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 01:12 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |