PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

XiXiTKW

0x7ebebf5fba5042134e7d63866603352f6b42a64d

Realised P&L
$263.58
Volume
$56.6k
Markets traded
689
Open portfolio
$23.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded689
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.3660.395$13.82+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.2800.335$10.05+$1.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$3.10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 26? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$4.60
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.70
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 22? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.90
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 10? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$5.16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 12? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$14.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 12? · Yes0.2720.000$0.00$24.96
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 21? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$2.56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 28? · No0.0430.000$0.00$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 13? · Yes0.3020.000$0.00$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$7.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 01:48Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?SELL0.0394233333$2.37
09-18 12:58Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.36$3.60
09-18 10:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.37$1.85
09-18 10:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?SELL0.47$7.52
09-18 10:45Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.44$22.00
09-18 10:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.3775$7.55
09-18 08:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?SELL0.001$0.03
09-18 05:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.28$8.40
09-18 05:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?SELL0.1$3.00
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.2$2.00
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.19$0.95
09-18 02:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.1866666667$2.80
09-17 05:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.36$2.88
09-17 05:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.37$2.96
09-16 14:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.38$5.70