XiXiTKW
0x7ebebf5fba5042134e7d63866603352f6b42a64d
- Realised P&L
- $232.61
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $52.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.225 | $30.82 | +$4.79 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.225 | $12.21 | −$0.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.365 | $7.30 | +$1.30 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.405 | $2.02 | +$0.37 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 28? · No | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.43at 0.128Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?
- +$36.95at 0.283Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?
- +$25.85at 0.276Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?
- +$22.79at 0.163Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?
- +$20.65at 0.343Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3943490867 | $27.20 |
| 08-04 13:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.50 |
| 08-04 13:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 08-04 10:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.25 |
| 08-04 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 08-04 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.19 | $26.03 |
| 08-04 08:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 08-04 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 04:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.27 |
| 08-04 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.30116 | $1.51 |
| 08-04 01:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 01:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 08-03 16:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.16 |