Meluchluch
0x7eb146e77f56b48226ef0fd25f3d0b69a3eac7f9
- Realised P&L
- $-43.49
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $83.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.875 | $83.91 | −$6.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.82at 0.012Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.18at 0.580US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$16.00at 0.280Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$15.38at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.93at 0.041Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 07:07 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | BUY | 0.9389999938 | $90.00 |
| 07-11 17:42 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.209 | $53.39 |
| 07-07 20:50 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.024 | $37.50 |
| 07-04 18:15 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 06-25 20:03 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 06-21 06:32 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $25.00 |
| 06-20 19:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1369999945 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 17:44 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.032 | $54.40 |
| 06-20 06:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1369999922 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 06:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 06-12 09:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999991 | $40.00 |
| 06-04 19:28 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $20.40 |
| 06-04 19:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $92.86 |
| 06-03 19:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 05-24 16:11 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.869999998 | $40.00 |