PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cannae

0x7ea571c40408f340c1c8fc8eaacebab53c1bde7b

Realised P&L
$1.39M
Volume
$131.27M
Markets traded
39,013
Open portfolio
$84.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded39,013
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) · Crystal Palace FC0.4731.000$14.9k+$7.9k
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.8071.000$13.9k+$2.7k
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17? · No0.6731.000$9.6k+$3.1k
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5831.000$6.8k+$2.8k
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · No0.5900.595$5.1k+$42.48
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? · No0.9740.976$4.9k+$9.79
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? · No0.4311.000$3.2k+$1.8k
Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5541.000$3.2k+$1.4k
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17? · No0.7821.000$2.4k+$519.08
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · No0.5600.585$1.8k+$77.58
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-09-17? · No0.4051.000$1.4k+$849.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? · No0.2350.245$1.4k+$58.13
Will NEC win on 2026-09-17? · No0.9501.000$1.3k+$64.48
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.1801.000$1.1k+$908.98
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.5591.000$838.18+$369.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:38Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.974$745.27
09-17 20:33Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.67$19.69
09-17 19:20Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.064$14.53
09-17 18:47Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.53$19.97
09-17 18:36Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)BUY0.044$0.84
09-17 18:13Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.11$193.67
09-17 18:13Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.1099999992$12.78
09-17 18:13Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.1099999999$93.87
09-17 18:13Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.1099999997$28.63
09-17 18:13Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.1099999996$28.18
09-17 18:13Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.1099999999$145.68
09-17 18:06Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.043$12.11
09-17 18:04Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.043$9.60
09-17 18:04Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.043$62.88
09-17 18:04Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.043$65.75