pbi6b33d
0x7ea41711e4c3fc6a2f5f267fb59168160f2a2343
- Realised P&L
- $-94.40
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $21.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.295 | $21.07 | +$1.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Down | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.70at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$22.49at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$21.35at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$9.70at 0.724Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$5.45at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.709999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 13:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999924 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 16:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $27.49 |
| 10-06 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |